4% increase in DA from January 2020, is almost confirmed as the index will have to decrease by 12 points in December 2019 to get less than 4% increase in DA.
DA from January 2020 for Central Government Employees and Pensioners estimated to be 21% . This is 4% increase from the current level DA for Central Government Employees which is at 17% – 3 Point increase in All India Consumer Price Index from 325 to 328, affirms the indication of DA from January 2020 reaching 21% even before the release of consumer price index for the month of December 2019.
DA from January 2020 is estimated in this article, after All India Consumer Price Index for 11 months declared already by Govt (January 2019 to November 2019). We have assumed AICPI for December 2019.
Trend of All India Consumer Index from January 2019:
After an unprecedented increase in the month July 2018 from 291 to 301, All India Consumer Price Index (Base 2001=100) remained at the same level till December 2018. However, from January 2019, the index increased steadily and it is now at the level of 325 as on October 2019.
